Beware the pronouncement that Donald Trump hasn’t a chance in November, and that his defeat will leave the Republican Party in ruins from which it might not be able to recover. Conservative mouthpiece David Frum made this assertion on Fareed Zakaria’s show this morning. For most on the left it probably sounds pretty good, but there’s inherent danger in what he’s saying. A danger that goes beyond the question of whether it would be good or bad for the Republican Party to suffer an irreversible loss.
The danger, is that so many will feel Trump cannot possibly win the election, that millions will feel it’s not necessary to vote. That initial problem, coupled with Sander’s supporters who feel angry and betrayed and who therefore also will not go to the polls, might provide Trump with the momentum he needs to win.
Sander’s supporters who feel betrayed by Bernie’s endorsement of HRC need to think about this as do those who are contemplating casting a vote for Jill Stein of the Green Party. They need to remember the race in 2000, when Ralph Nader’s candidacy on the Green Party ticket helped split the vote leading to the defeat Al Gore and giving the election to George W. Bush.
Young people who are thinking about staying home on election day because they believe Hillary is a shoe-in need to reconsider their positions. Bernie supporters who are saying they will not vote, or that they will switch their vote to the Green Party, really need to think this through, particularly those saddled with college loan debt.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz, being ousted from her leadership position at the DNC would be a good move for the Democratic Party, particularly in light of HRC’s VP pick. Tim Kaine, who most of us never heard of, looks more like a moderate Republican than a Democrat. For many of us, he’s another bitter pill to swallow from a campaign that looked more Republican than Democrat before Bernie Sanders forced Hillary’s move to the left. Wasserman Schultz, should have been kicked to the curb months ago when it was revealed that the DNC was making campaign financing deals with the HRC campaign ostensibly to provide more “downstream” funding to Dem candidates, refusing to give the Sander’s campaign access to a DNC list of Dem voters and scheduling debates to keep Sanders away from the limelight. Only now, after WikiLeaks released emails indicating that the DNC was actively discussing ways to torpedo the Sander’s campaign, is the leadership of Wasserman Schultz being seriously threatened.
The email thing gets really interesting if you consider a report in June, in the Washington Post, to the effect that the Russians hacked into the DNC’s computer system. Some are speculating that the emails WikiLeaks released were provided by the Russians, who (again speculation) are doing all they can to support the candidacy of Donald Trump, who has been speaking out in favor of Russian strongman Vladimir Putin, and against traditional U.S. support for NATO.
This goes beyond being nothing more than a conspiracy theory nutjob assertion when you consider past affiliations of Trump advisor Paul Manafort. According to Buzzfeed, “Manafort may be best known for managing the 2010 campaign of Viktor Yanukovych, the Ukrainian politician whose ouster as president prompted a Russian invasion of the country. He has, according to court documents, managed tens of millions of dollars for Oleg Deripaska, an oligarch denied entry to the U.S. reportedly for ties to organized crime, but so close to Vladimir Putin that top Russian officials fought (unsuccessfully) to get him a visa. Gary Schmitt, a former Reagan Administration official now at the American Enterprise Institute, said he believed Manafort’s ties merit extra scrutiny.”
The fact that Wasserman Schultz has apparently been stripped of some of her duties at the convention (CNN is reporting that the “DNC Chair wil not preside daily over convention”), is an indicator of Sander’s impact on the party. It’s a hopeful sign for progressives. However, you can be sure that any chaos at the top of the DNC will be used by the Trump campaign. They will tout it as another sign that the system was rigged in Hillary’s favor and that Bernie didn’t have a chance as they again urge Bernie’s supporters to vote for Trump or possibly Jill Stein. Either way, Trump wins.
Voting for Clinton/Kaine won’t be easy for some of us, but it must be done. Not voting for Hillary Clinton or voting for Jill Stein, will, in a very real sense be the same as casting a vote for Donald Trump.